The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MTK Budapest II 48.5%
Draw 25%
Érdi VSE 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
24.6%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
25%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Érdi VSE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest II than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Érdi VSE than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
MTK Budapest II - Érdi VSE Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', (Penalty Awarded),
80', (Penalty Awarded),
82', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 11th).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
MTK II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, MTK II has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Érdi has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with MTK II holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, MTK II has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1.5:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for MTK II against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
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