Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday


	MYPA		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.83
	3.5	3.75	1.8
	3.45	3.6	1.9
	3.55	3.65	1.87
	3.92	3.86	1.9
	3.7	3.6	1.88
	3.78	3.84	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (4.04)	3.7 ↓ (3.88)	1.86 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MYPA
24.9%

Draw
25.1%

VPS Vaasa
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

23.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

18.8%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MYPA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MYPA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MYPA - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

MYPA is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches VPS is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

VPS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match VPS is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches MYPA won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams MYPA won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MYPA
Finnish Ykkonen
05.09.20	Oulu - MYPA	4:0 ✺
02.09.20	MYPA - KPV Kokkola	1:1 ✺
29.08.20	Ekenäs - MYPA	3:0 ✺
26.08.20	MYPA - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:1 ✺
22.08.20	MYPA - SJK Akatemia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLLW
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Ykkonen
05.09.20	VPS Vaasa - Ekenäs	1:0 ✺
30.08.20	Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	1:2 ✺
22.08.20	VPS Vaasa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
15.08.20	KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa	2:0 ✺
09.08.20	VPS Vaasa - Kajaani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
11.07.20	VPS Vaasa - MYPA	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.09.14	MYPA - VPS Vaasa	0:0
27.06.14	VPS Vaasa - MYPA	4:0
23.04.14	MYPA - VPS Vaasa	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
08.03.14	VPS Vaasa - MYPA	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
06.10.13	MYPA - VPS Vaasa	1:1
19.07.13	VPS Vaasa - MYPA	4:1

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