Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 31

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Maardu Linnameeskond		Tartu Kalev

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	8
	1.29	5.9	5.9
	1.19	7.12	7.46
	1.23	5.8	8.8
	1.26	5.9	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	6.04 ↑ (5.3)	7.41 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maardu Linnameeskond
72.8%

Draw
15%

Tartu Kalev
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

16.9%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

16.4%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maardu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Tartu Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Pjatajev D. (G) 24. Kapustin A. 23. Tserezov M. 19. Kulinits A. (C) 13. Lebedev D. 14. Eensalu M. 15. Grigorjev A. 77. Tsombaljuk S. 17. Panchenko Y. 33. Volkov A. 9. Utgof E.	24. Peramets K. (G) 99. Varusk A. 23. Ruul A. 77. Tenno S. (C) 19. Troon K. 28. Lehter D. 17. Raud G. H. 10. Kaasik K. 6. Bazjukin N. 11. Juhanson R. 80. Samulin R.
Substitutes
98. Jakovlev A. (G) 18. Salabai V. 20. Skrynnyk D. 7. Sobtsenko R.	13. Daum M. (G) 52. Karpenkov V. 66. Mangel M. 88. Villems M. 7. Vilt K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
18', 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, ⚽,
36', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
75', 2 - 2, ⚽,
81', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Maardu Linnameeskond has had a series of away games.

In this match, Maardu Linnameeskond is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maardu Linnameeskond won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 3.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Maardu Linnameeskond won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga B
28.09.25	Paide U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	2:2 ✺
18.09.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Läänemaa Haapsalu	7:0 ✺
12.09.25	Tabasalu - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tallinna JK Legion	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWTWW
- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
27.09.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tartu Kalev	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tartu Kalev - Kuressaare U21	3:1 ✺
18.09.25	Paide U21 - Tartu Kalev	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Tartu Kalev - Narva Trans U21	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tartu Kalev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
23.08.25	Tartu Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:3
14.06.25	Tartu Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:1
26.04.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Kalev	6:1

Upcoming Matches