Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 21

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: Viimsi Staadion (Viimsi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Viimsi JK		Tallinna Kalev

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	4.33	4.40
	1.6	4.15	4.15
	1.67	4.2	4.01
	1.56	4.48	4.35	Watch
	1.64	3.8	3.9
	1.74	4.27	3.85	Watch
	1.59	4.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.35)	4.19 ↓ (4.95)	4.11 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Viimsi JK
56.2%

Draw
21.7%

Tallinna Kalev
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

18.1%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

18.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viimsi JK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viimsi JK's form might have worsened.

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallinna Kalev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viimsi JK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallinna Kalev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Timoska A. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Milk K. ⚽, Aziz A. L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 2, Timoska A. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Viimsi JK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kalev is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Viimsi JK is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viimsi JK won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Viimsi JK won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Viimsi JK	31	16	5	10	56:31	25	53
6	Tallinna Kalev	30	11	7	12	52:55	-3	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
27.07.26	Nõmme United U21 - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
16.07.26	Viimsi JK - Elva	1:3 ✺
11.07.26	Viimsi JK - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:2 ✺
02.07.26	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	2:2 ✺
22.06.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Viimsi JK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTTL
- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga
18.07.26	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme United U21	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:3 ✺
21.06.26	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme Kalju U21	5:1 ✺
18.06.26	Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
27.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Viimsi JK	0:3
19.03.26	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev	2:0
30.11.24	Tallinna Kalev - Viimsi JK	1:0 ET
24.11.24	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev	1:1
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev	1:1

Upcoming Matches