Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 19Date: 13 July 2026, MondayLocation: Maardu linnastaadion (Maardu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Maardu Linnameeskond |
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Tartu Welco |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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3.90 |
4.40 |
1.58 |
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3.9 |
4.35 |
1.6 |
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3.43 |
4.98 |
1.74 |
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2.69 |
4.94 |
1.93 |
Watch |
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3.1 |
4.9 |
1.65 |
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3.73 |
4.92 |
1.67 |
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3.85 |
4.3 |
1.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↓
(5.17) |
4.68 ↓
(4.8) |
1.68 ↑
(1.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maardu Linnameeskond
26% | Draw
19.5% | Tartu Welco
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maardu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maardu Linnameeskond's performance.Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tartu Welco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maardu Linnameeskond that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tartu Welco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Maardu Linnameeskond will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Tartu Welco will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 1', 0 - 1, Laasner K. ⚽, Magi M. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Volkov A. ⚽, Malinin V. (A),
- 17', 1 - 2, Laasner K. ⚽, Teniste T. (A),
- 31', 1 - 3, Magi M. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 4, Laasner K. ⚽, Magi M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 79', 1 - 5, Laasner K. ⚽,
- 80', 1 - 6, Kablik H. ⚽,
- 87', 1 - 7, Laasner K. ⚽,
- 90+2', Laasner K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+2', 1 - 8, Laasner K. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maardu Linnameeskond won 4.Maardu Linnameeskond is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Tartu Welco is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Tartu Welco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Tartu Welco is the undisputed favorite.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Maardu Linnameeskond won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 46:4. (average 3.8:0.3).Including home matches between the teams, Maardu Linnameeskond won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:3. (average 4.7:0.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 81:39 | 42 | 65 |
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| 10 | Maardu | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 45:59 | -14 | 41 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 24.05.26 | Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco | 0:1 | | 18.09.21 | Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco | 7:0 | | 14.07.21 | Tartu Welco - Maardu Linnameeskond | 0:4 | | 31.05.21 | Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco | 6:0 | | 30.09.18 | Tartu Welco - Maardu Linnameeskond | 0:1 | | 12.08.18 | Tartu Welco - Maardu Linnameeskond | 0:2 | | 01.05.18 | Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco | 6:0 |
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