Match Info

A-League - Round 18

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Polytec) (Gosford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
New-zealand	Sky Sport Select
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 7
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Central Coast Mariners		Western Sydney Wanderers

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.2	1.68	Watch
	4.45	3.95	1.68	Watch
	4.25	4.05	1.8
	4.29	4.24	1.73	Watch
	4	3.8	1.73
	4.39	4.12	1.77	Watch
	4	4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.48)	4.05 ↑ (3.57)	1.74 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
22.3%

Draw
23.3%

Western Sydney Wanderers
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

25.9%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

25.9%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Central Coast (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Western Sydney Wanderers will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Western Sydney Wanderers will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Western Sydney (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Redmayne A. (C) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 26. Tapp B. 5. Mauragis L. 72. Auglah A. 48. Donnell C. 16. Steele H. 17. Taniguchi K. 23. Lavale O. 10. Di Pizio M.	20. Thomas L. (C) 14. Cancar P. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 18. Farrell J. 3. Gersbach A. 5. Scicluna D. 26. Borrello B. 8. Ugarkovic S. 32. Thurgate A. 7. Fraser R. 9. Barbarouses K.
Substitutes
18. Blair N. 37. Brandtman B. 6. Eames H. 11. James Ngor S. 43. Nasso J. 3. Paull N. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G)	25. Brillante J. 21. Hammond A. 30. Holmes J. (G) 11. Ibusuki H. 23. Kraev B. 19. Tongyik R. 52. Waraga A.
Coaches
Moon W.	van Egmond G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Thurgate A. ⚽, Fraser R. (A),
35', Auglah A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Auglah A. ⚽, Roux S. (A),
58', Donachie J. 🟨,
62', Taniguchi K. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
62', Steele H. ↓, Eames H. ↑,
65', Scicluna D. 🟨,
65', Borrello B. ↓, Kraev B. ↑,
65', Barbarouses K. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
66', Cancar P. ↓, Brillante J. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Ibusuki H. ⚽, Kraev B. (A),
73', Roux S. ↓, Nasso J. ↑,
74', Auglah A. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Blair N. ⚽, Mauragis L. (A),
81', Gersbach A. ↓, Tongyik R. ↑,
81', Di Pizio M. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
86', Brandtman B. 🟨,
86', Ugarkovic S. ↓, Waraga A. ↑,
88', Farrell J. 🟨,
89', 3 - 2, Donachie J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Western Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Western Sydney has had a series of home games.

In this match, Western Sydney is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Central Coast: Duarte N. (Inactive) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Western Sydney: Barrie N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	WS Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
07.02.26	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWTTL
- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
13.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Sydney - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
22.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	3:2
22.02.25	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:4
17.01.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	1:3
18.02.24	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0
06.01.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	0:1
04.03.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	2:0
28.01.23	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:2

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