Match Info

A-League - Round 17

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	Sky Sport Select
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV
World	Onefootball


	Western Sydney Wanderers		Wellington Phoenix

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.7	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.74	4.2	4.55
	1.68	4.32	4.51	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.2
	1.74	4.19	4.49	Watch
	1.71	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	4.11 ↑ (3.85)	4.36 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers
55.3%

Draw
23%

Wellington Phoenix
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

23.9%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	10.5%	26.3%

Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Wellington will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western Sydney: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Wellington (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Wellington (2.08) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

EH +2 - Wellington (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Wellington (3.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Western Sydney Wanderers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Western Sydney (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Wellington (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thomas L. (C) 14. Cancar P. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 18. Farrell J. 3. Gersbach A. 8. Ugarkovic S. 5. Scicluna D. 32. Thurgate A. 7. Fraser R. 9. Barbarouses K. 23. Kraev B.	30. Kelly-Heald A. (G) 6. Payne T. 28. Tuiloma B. 15. Hughes I. 27. Sheridan M. 16. Kartum S. 14. Rufer A. (C) 25. Nagasawa K. 11. Armiento C. 7. Eze I. 9. Singh S.
Substitutes
26. Borrello B. 25. Brillante J. 17. Carluccio J. 21. Hammond A. 30. Holmes J. (G) 11. Ibusuki H. 19. Tongyik R.	4. James M. 18. Kelly-Heald L. 40. McCarron E. (G) 10. Mileusnic N. 20. Najjarine R. 3. Piper C. 8. Retre P.
Coaches
van Egmond G.	Italiano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Fraser R. ⚽, Scicluna D. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Cancar P. ⚽, Thurgate A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kartum S. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
46', Sheridan M. ↓, James M. ↑,
47', Ugarkovic S. 🟨,
55', Singh S. ↓, Piper C. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Tuiloma B. ⚽, Armiento C. (A),
70', Kraev B. 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, Eze I. ⚽,
76', Barbarouses K. ↓, Borrello B. ↑,
77', Cancar P. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
80', Kraev B. ↓, Hammond A. ↑,
85', Scicluna D. ↓, Brillante J. ↑,
85', Thurgate A. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
88', Eze I. ↓, Mileusnic N. ↑,
88', Eze I. 🟨,
90+10', Farrell J. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Western Sydney is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Wellington: Edwards D. (Inactive) Oluwayemi J. (Injury) Supyk L. (Injury) Walker N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Western Sydney: Barrie N. (Injury) Cancar P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:27. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.5:1.2).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Wellington Phoenix: 4.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	WS Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
07.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Sydney - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWLW
- Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League
06.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Sydney - Wellington Phoenix	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
29.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:2
22.12.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	4:1
22.12.23	Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:0
22.10.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	0:0
21.04.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	4:0
10.12.22	Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1
05.05.22	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	1:2

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