Match Info

A-League - Round 16

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Saba E. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV 2
Philippines	SPOTV 2
Singapore	SPOTV 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV 2, True ID, True Premier Football 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV 2


	Western Sydney Wanderers		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.52	3.45	2.58	Watch
	2.63	3.52	2.75
	2.39	3.46	2.93	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.54	3.45	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.54)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	2.72 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers
37.4%

Draw
27.8%

Melbourne City
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

27.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	26.7%	26.7%

Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western Sydney: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Melbourne City (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Western Sydney Wanderers will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Western Sydney (votes: 6 - 75%). Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thomas L. (C) 25. Brillante J. 14. Cancar P. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 3. Gersbach A. 8. Ugarkovic S. 32. Thurgate A. 5. Scicluna D. 21. Hammond A. 7. Fraser R. 9. Barbarouses K.	1. Beach P. (G) 36. Shillington H. 22. Ferreyra G. 26. Souprayen S. 16. Behich A. (C) 8. Teague R. 30. Kuen A. 21. Lopane A. 13. Atkinson N. 35. Memeti M. 28. Younis M.
Substitutes
24. Barrie N. 26. Borrello B. 17. Carluccio J. 30. Holmes J. (G) 23. Kraev B. 38. Rose J.	37. Antoniou P. 14. Arzani D. 4. Bonetig L. 17. Caputo M. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 19. Schreiber Z. 41. Wong L.
Coaches
van Egmond G.	Vidmar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Younis M. 🟨,
39', Souprayen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Brillante J. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
57', Cancar P. ↓, Barrie N. ↑,
63', Gersbach A. ↓, Kraev B. ↑,
63', Barbarouses K. ↓, Borrello B. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Behich A. ⚽,
67', Kuen A. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
74', Lopane A. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
74', Memeti M. ↓, Caputo M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Kraev B. ⚽, Thurgate A. (A),
85', Hammond A. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
85', Shillington H. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
85', Younis M. ↓, Bonetig L. ↑,
88', Caputo M. 🟨,
90+1', Barrie N. ↓, Rose J. ↑,
90+7', Carluccio J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Melbourne City: Durakovic E. (Inactive) Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Nabbout A. (Calf Injury) Ochsenham D. (Inactive) Rahmani K. (Knee Injury) Rashani E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Melbourne City: Kanamori T. (Knee Injury) Shillington H. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:45. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Melbourne City: 14.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	WS Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Western Sydney Wanderers - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
31.01.26	Sydney - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1 ✺
01.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWL
- Melbourne City
Australian A-League
30.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Macarthur FC - Melbourne City	6:2 ✺
16.01.26	Melbourne City - Auckland FC	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	0:1 ✺
06.01.26	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
18.10.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:1
19.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	2:2
30.11.24	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:2
20.04.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:2
12.03.24	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	7:0
12.01.24	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1
28.04.23	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:2

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