Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 20

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik		Hapoel Bnei Musmus

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.05	5.7
	1.62	3.62	4.68
	1.6	3.86	4.82	Watch
	1.47	3.82	6.25
	1.62	3.66	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	3.8 ↑ (3.5)	5.19 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
58.5%

Draw
23.9%

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik's performance.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Bnei Musmus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Musmus than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Bnei Musmus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Masarwa S. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Agbaria I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, M Kiryat Ata Bialik is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, M Kiryat Ata Bialik won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik	9	3	1	5	16:17	-1	10
16	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	8	1	2	5	7:16	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.02.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTWTT
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.02.26	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:1 ✺
30.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Tzeirey Tamra	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
09.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:2
21.01.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:1

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Bnei Musmus