Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Városi Stadion (Nyíregyháza)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Israel	Sport 1


	Hapoel Beer Sheva		Levski Sofia

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.45	Watch
	1.86	3.32	4.92
	1.90	3.09	4.55	Watch
	1.91	3	4
	1.92	3.17	4.91	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.05)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	4.32 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
49.2%

Draw
29.2%

Levski Sofia
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levski Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levski Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	20%	5.7%

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Levski Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Levski will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Beer Sheva: 60% – 90%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Levski (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Levski (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Hapoel Beer Sheva (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Levski (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Eliasi N. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 3. Baltaxa M. 5. Blorian O. 22. Lopes H. (C) 9. Ahmed Z. 25. Lucas Ventura 20. Kangwa K. 10. Biton D. 66. Zlatanovic I. 11. Ganah A. C.	92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 18. Trdin G. 50. Dimitrov K. 4. Makoun C. 37. Rildo 70. Kostadinov G. 99. Kirilov R. 88. Petkov M. (C) 7. Lima F. 17. Everton Bala
Substitutes
29. Almog E. 13. Davidzada O. 23. Hazut I. 8. Kanaan M. 18. Levy R. 1. Marciano O. (G) 4. Miguel Vitor 36. Shani Y. (G) 16. Siman Tov M. 17. Turgeman A.	95. Fabien K. 71. Kamdem O. 34. Lazarov S. 23. Myslovic P. 8. Ohene C. 77. Rupanov B. 12. Sangare M. 1. Vladimirov O. (G)
Coaches
Kozuk R.	Velazquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Neves A. 🟨,
60', Rildo ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
61', Lucas Ventura 🟨,
72', Zlatanovic I. ↓, Turgeman A. ↑,
72', Ahmed Z. ↓, Kanaan M. ↑,
79', Neves A. ↓, Kamdem O. ↑,
79', Petkov M. ↓, Fabien K. ↑,
80', Kangwa K. 🟨,
88', Everton Bala ↓, Rupanov B. ↑,
90', Lopes H. ↓, Davidzada O. ↑,
90', Ganah A. C. ↓, Almog E. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
93', Baltaxa M. ↓, Miguel Vitor ↑,
93', Biton D. ↓, Levy R. ↑,
103', Kostadinov G. ↓, Ohene C. ↑,
103', Kirilov R. ↓, Myslovic P. ↑,
105+3', 1 - 0, Turgeman A. ⚽, Levy R. (A),
109', Lucas Ventura 🟨,
111', Miguel Vitor 🟨,
114', 1 - 1, Sangare M. ⚽, Fabien K. (A),
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Almog E. (Pen),
1, Rupanov B. (Pen),
2, Kangwa K. (Pen),
2, Fabien K. (Pen),
3, Turgeman A. (Pen),
3, Makoun C. (Pen),
4, Levy R. (Pen),
4, Sangare M. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg. Neutral location - Városi Stadion.

Hapoel Beer Sheva is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Levski is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hapoel Beer Sheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hapoel Beer Sheva has had a series of away games.

Recently, Levski has had a series of home games.

Hapoel Beer Sheva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Super Cup
13.07.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.07.25	Levski Sofia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Cracovia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
29.05.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
24.05.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Haifa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTWW
- Levski Sofia
UEFA Europa League
10.07.25	Levski Sofia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.25	Levski Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	3:2 ✺
29.06.25	Levski Sofia - Montana	3:0 ✺
25.06.25	Levski Sofia - Radnik Surdulica	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Levski Sofia - Spartak Pleven	5:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.07.25	Levski Sofia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Levski Sofia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1
10.08.23	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Levski Sofia	0:0

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