Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 3


	Maccabi Petah Tikva		MS Ashdod

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.6	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.7
	2.41	3.35	2.75
	2.5	3.2	2.98
	2.5	3.32	2.75	Watch
	2.51	3.4	2.69	Watch
	2.41	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.58)	3.3 ↑ (3.11)	2.75 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Petah Tikva
37.8%

Draw
28.3%

MS Ashdod
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

31.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

MS Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Maccabi Petah Tikva - MS Ashdod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Wolff M. (G) 12. Azugi A. 20. Cohen I. 25. Galabov P. 32. Hindi M. 17. Salem A. 14. Glezer T. 28. Yehoshua N. 53. Hazan L. 21. Harris W. 8. Mahamid A.	25. Niemczycki K. (G) 4. Awany T. D. 5. Bitton N. 16. Yashilirmak M. 11. Levy R. 77. Coll I. 18. Tamam I. 6. Atemengue M. 19. Levi A. 13. Ansah E. 10. Kanaan M.
Substitutes
77. Altoury A. 16. Cohen Y. 23. Damascan V. 26. Deznet G. 72. Golasa E. 98. Litvinov T. (G) 18. Shamir E. 29. Soladio J. 15. Vered I.	30. Abergel R. 23. Azo O. N. 7. Azulay S. 9. Harush S. 41. Hasson S. (G) 28. Mamatah E. 14. Muche N. 8. Nachmani S. 3. Rosen S.
Coaches
Luzon T.	Silvas H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Kanaan M. ⚽, Ansah E. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Harris W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hazan L. ↓, Vered I. ↑,
46', Mahamid A. ↓, Damascan V. ↑,
53', 🟨,
70', Tamam I. ↓, Muche N. ↑,
75', Salem A. ↓, Cohen Y. ↑,
77', Levi A. ↓, Azo O. N. ↑,
80', Azugi A. ↓, Altoury A. ↑,
81', Azo O. N. 🟨,
88', Ansah E. ↓, Azulay S. ↑,
88', Levy R. ↓, Rosen S. ↑,
90+3', Harris W. ↓, Soladio J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Petah Tikva won 0.

Recent performances by Maccabi Petah Tikva have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ashdod is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Petah Tikva won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Petah Tikva won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Maccabi Petah Tikva - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

MS Ashdod - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israeli Ligat haAl
26.04.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Hadera	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWWL
- MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl
26.04.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - MS Ashdod	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Hadera	4:1 ✺
06.04.25	Ironi Tiberias - MS Ashdod	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - MS Ashdod	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
01.02.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - MS Ashdod	2:2
26.10.24	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:0
30.03.24	Maccabi Petah Tikva - MS Ashdod	0:1
17.01.24	Maccabi Petah Tikva - MS Ashdod	1:2
23.09.23	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:1
Israeli Toto Cup
01.08.23	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:1
Israeli Ligat haAl
09.04.22	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:0

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