Match Info

Date: 18 February 2021, Thursday


	Maccabi Tel Aviv		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.45
	3.2	3.1	2.4
	3.15	3	2.57
	3.05	2.95	2.48
	3.17	3.03	2.58
	3.1	3	2.5
	3.2	3.08	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (4.5)	3.02 ↓ (3.6)	2.51 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Tel Aviv
30.3%

Draw
31.6%

Shakhtar Donetsk
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

26.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

16.4%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Tel Aviv's performance.

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtar Donetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.2%	5.3%	83.4%

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (156 of 187 users predict this - 83.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.09% – 88.75%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg. No spectators.

Maccabi Tel Aviv was already of round of 32, has a chance of round of 16 (30%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Shakhtar was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (70%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Maccabi Tel Aviv in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Shakhtar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Maccabi Tel Aviv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shakhtar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.02.21	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
10.02.21	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Hadera	3:1 ✺
06.02.21	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1:0 ✺
01.02.21	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
27.01.21	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Maccabi Haifa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
14.02.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.02.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Slovan Bratislava	0:1
31.01.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
31.01.21	Mura - Shakhtar Donetsk	Canceled
25.01.21	Maribor - Shakhtar Donetsk	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLT??

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