Match Info

National League North - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Macclesfield Town		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	6.25
	1.4	4.55	6.5
	1.43	4.61	6.55	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.49	4.09	6.55
	1.41	4.33	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.68)	4.28 ↑ (3.86)	6.48 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macclesfield Town
64.4%

Draw
21.4%

Oxford City
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.1%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Macclesfield Town's performance.

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oxford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Macclesfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oxford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Macclesfield Town - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Buckley I. ⚽,
84', 2 - 0, Mellor D. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 0, Mellor D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Macclesfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Macclesfield is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Macclesfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Macclesfield: 17.85% Oxford City: 5.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macclesfield	10	6	3	1	13:6	7	21
3	Oxford City	10	6	2	2	18:7	11	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Macclesfield Town - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
English National League North
06.01.26	Macclesfield Town - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Chester - Macclesfield Town	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Macclesfield Town - Buxton	0:2 ✺
16.12.25	Bedford Town - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WWLLW
- Oxford City
English National League North
10.01.26	Oxford City - Buxton	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Peterborough Sports - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Oxford City - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Oxford City - Darlington	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
16.08.25	Oxford City - Macclesfield Town	2:1

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