Match Info

National League North - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Darlington

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.2
	2.68	3.6	2.28
	2.77	3.85	2.25
	2.74	3.84	2.25	Watch
	2.63	3.5	2.25
	2.62	3.5	2.26
	2.71	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.8)	3.65 ↓ (3.72)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
34.1%

Draw
25.1%

Darlington
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+3%)

Oxford City - Darlington Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ashby J. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, McEachran Z. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Campton-Sturridge D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 3 - 1, Rutledge A. ⚽,
76', 4 - 1, Campton-Sturridge D. ⚽,
84', 5 - 1, Campton-Sturridge D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Oxford City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Darlington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Oxford City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Darlington - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.85%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
29.11.25	Oxford City - King`s Lynn Town	0:1 ✺
25.11.25	AFC Telford United - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Marine - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
18.11.25	South Shields - Oxford City	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Oxford City - Peterborough Sports	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL
- Darlington FC
English National League North
29.11.25	Bedford Town - Darlington	3:4 ✺
25.11.25	Darlington - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
18.11.25	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	5:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	United of Manchester - Darlington	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.12.24	Darlington - Oxford City	1:1
17.08.24	Oxford City - Darlington	2:2

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