Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo (Santo Tirso)


	Tirsense		Machico

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4.25
	1.78	3.13	4.43
	1.8	3.19	4.48	Watch
	1.8	3	4.33
	1.81	3.42	4.24
	1.78	3.14	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.74)	3.16 ↓ (3.48)	4.34 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
50.4%

Draw
28.7%

Machico
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

27.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machico than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tirsense - Machico Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tirsense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Machico will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirsense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Tirsense (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirsense (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tirsense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tirsense is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tirsense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.02.26	Brito - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Tirsense - São Martinho	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Vianense - Tirsense	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tirsense - Bragança	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Chaves B - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLW
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.02.26	Machico - Chaves B	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Machico - Celoricense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Limianos - Machico	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Machico - Desportivo Monção	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Mirandela - Machico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
27.09.25	Machico - Tirsense	0:0

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