Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 19

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Machico (Machico)


	Machico		Vianense

	1	X	2
	2.58	3	2.58
	2.67	2.91	2.67	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.5
	2.63	3.2	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.54)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.58 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machico
34.9%

Draw
30.1%

Vianense
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

29.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Vianense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Machico aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Machico - Vianense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 3, ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Machico is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vianense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vianense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Machico won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Vianense - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 35.72%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.02.26	Tirsense - Machico	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Machico - Chaves B	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Machico - Celoricense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Limianos - Machico	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Machico - Desportivo Monção	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWWLW
- SC Vianense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.02.26	Vianense - Brito	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	São Martinho - Vianense	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Vianense - Bragança	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Vianense - Tirsense	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Chaves B - Vianense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.10.25	Vianense - Machico	2:2

Machico - Vianense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide