Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 26

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Machico		Leça

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.95	2.65	2.6
	2.71	3.08	2.41
	2.95	2.65	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.5)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machico
32.8%

Draw
31.2%

Leça
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

The chances for Leça have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machico, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Machico - Leça Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leça (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Recent matches Machico is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leça is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Leça could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Machico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Machico won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.04.25	Beira-Mar - Machico	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Machico - Alpendorada	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Machico - Guarda FC	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Salgueiros 08 - Machico	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Machico - União Lamas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWLL
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.04.25	Leça - Guarda FC	6:2 ✺
30.03.25	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Leça - União Lamas	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	Gondomar - Leça	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Leça - Marítimo B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.12.24	Leça - Machico	1:2
22.01.23	Machico - Leça	0:1
25.09.22	Leça - Machico	4:0

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