Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 2

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade d'Honneur (Meknes) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect
Canada	10:00	beIN Connect
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
Philippines	22:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	22:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Thailand	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	10:00	beIN Connect


	Madagascar		Tanzania

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.10
	2.43	2.90	3.00
	2.46	2.87	3.48
	2.4	2.84	3.33	Watch
	2.40	2.65	3.40
	2.30	3.02	3.19	Watch
	2.29	2.80	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.35)	2.83 ↓ (3)	3.23 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madagascar
39%

Draw
32.5%

Tanzania
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madagascar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tanzania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Madagascar - Tanzania Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Madagascar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tanzania will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dupire G. (G) Bissen 2. Rabemananjara R. 15. Kari E. Virton 5. Tremoulet S. Karlsruher 3. Jean-Pierre M. Fleury 91 7. Raveloson R. (C) Amedspor 6. Ilaimaharitra M. St. Liege 13. Fontaine N. Septemvri Sofia 10. Raheriniaina E. H. Nancy 17. Lapoussin L. Guangxi Hengchen 9. Caddy W. Randers FC	1. Amosi Y. (G) Singida Black Stars 22. Chilambo N. Simba 4. Hamad I. Young Africans 26. van den Bos M. FK Panevezys 15. Hussein M. Young Africans 7. Mkami H. (C) Azam 17. Msanga A. Kabylie 11. Kibu D. Simba 6. Salum F. Azam 9. Suleiman A. Azam 21. Kachwele C. Kryvbas
Substitutes
19. Abdallah H. FC UTA Arad 22. Acapandie M. Hajduk Split 14. Couturier C. Mondorf 18. Ferber R. Bissen 21. Fontaine T. GOAL FC 23. Laiton S. (G) 11. Ponti R. Rodez 12. Rabearivelo B. 16. Rakotohasimbola R. (G) Fosa Juniors 20. Randriamanampisoa N. Elgeco Plus 4. Randriamanampsioa N. Disciples 8. Tsirava B. Monastir	16. Abraham M. Simba 10. Allarakhia T. Boreham Wood 28. Foba Z. (G) Azam 20. Lawi L. Azam 8. M'Mombwa C. Zabbar 13. Mnata M. (G) Singida Black Stars 25. Mnoga H. Patro Eisden 2. Msindo P. Azam 12. Msuva S. Newroz 19. Mwalimu S. Young Africans 23. Yahya M. Young Africans
Coaches
Martins C.	Gamondi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Hamad I. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Kachwele C. ⚽, Salum F. (A),
45+3', Rabemananjara R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lapoussin L. ↓, Abdallah H. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Fontaine N. ⚽, Kari E. (A),
61', Fontaine N. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
67', van den Bos M. ↓, Mnoga H. ↑,
69', Kachwele C. ↓, Msuva S. ↑,
70', Salum F. ↓, M'Mombwa C. ↑,
81', Caddy W. ↓, Ferber R. ↑,
81', Tremoulet S. ↓, Fontaine T. ↑,
81', Hussein M. ↓, Msindo P. ↑,
81', Suleiman A. ↓, Mwalimu S. ↑,
85', Mkami H. 🟨,
90', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Randriamanampsioa N. ↑,
90+1', Randriamanampsioa N. 🟨,

Preview

Madagascar is ranked FIFA: 104., and Tanzania is ranked FIFA: 112..

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Madagascar has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madagascar
Africa Cup of Nations
25.09.26	Nigeria - Madagascar	2:1 ✺
Friendly
02.06.26	Morocco - Madagascar	4:0 ✺
31.03.26	Equatorial Guinea - Madagascar	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Kyrgyzstan - Madagascar	2:5 ✺
FIFA World Cup
12.10.25	Mali - Madagascar	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWL
- Tanzania
Africa Cup of Nations
25.09.26	Tanzania - Guinea Bissau	0:2 ✺
FIFA Series
29.03.26	Macau - Tanzania	0:6 ✺
26.03.26	Tanzania - Liechtenstein	0:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
04.01.26	Morocco - Tanzania	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Tanzania - Tunisia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

African Nations Championship
09.08.25	Tanzania - Madagascar	2:1
COSAFA Cup
07.06.25	Tanzania - Madagascar	0:1
FIFA World Cup
14.11.21	Madagascar - Tanzania	1:1
07.09.21	Tanzania - Madagascar	3:2
COSAFA Cup
20.05.15	Madagascar - Tanzania	2:0

Madagascar - Tanzania