Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 18

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Mar L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+


	Tenerife		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.28	Watch
	3.04	3.17	2.34
	3	3.22	2.35	Watch
	2.9	2.88	2.3
	2.99	3.05	2.28
	3	3.14	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.49)	3.09 ↓ (3.52)	2.31 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
30.8%

Draw
29.5%

Real Sociedad
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tenerife - Real Sociedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramos N. (G) 11. Zaremba A. 4. Dembele F. 18. Verges E. 22. Gavira Collado P. (C) 16. Blanco C. 6. Hernandez P. 14. Ramos N. 5. Moreno Y. 19. Perez I. 7. Ouzraoui Diki S.	1. Estensoro A. (G) 12. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 4. Aparicio N. 3. Vicente A. (C) 24. Agirrezabala A. 2. Florentino C. 5. Fernandez P. 22. Cahynova K. 14. Eguiguren I. 9. Uria Gabilondo M. 18. Lavogez C.
Substitutes
15. Bicho 13. Caceres N. (G) 12. Castello S. 3. Cinta Rodriguez 20. del Valle M. E. 24. Gramaglia P. 2. Koko 8. Quiles V.	13. Arrula J. (G) 10. Eizaguirre N. 6. Guridi E. 8. Jacinto A. 11. Marcos C. 7. Pardo L. 21. Ramirez E.
Coaches
Yerai M.	Ruiz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Perez I. ⚽, Ramos N. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Aparicio N. ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Perez I. ↓, Gramaglia P. ↑,
59', Hernandez P. ↓, Castello S. ↑,
62', Lavogez C. ↓, Jacinto A. ↑,
72', Jacinto A. 🟨,
80', Rodriguez Herrero L. M. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
80', Ouzraoui Diki S. ↓, Quiles V. ↑,
80', Eguiguren I. ↓, Eizaguirre N. ↑,
87', Moreno Y. ↓, Koko ↑,
89', Koko 🟨,
90+2', Agirrezabala A. ↓, Marcos C. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 2.

Tenerife is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Sociedad is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Sociedad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Costa Adeje Tenerife W	6	2	2	2	6:11	-5	8
15	Real Sociedad W	6	1	2	3	7:11	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
25.01.26	Espanyol - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao	5:0 ✺
11.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
20.12.25	Sevilla - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Tenerife - Logroño United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWT
- Real Sociedad Women
Spanish Liga F Women
25.01.26	Real Sociedad - Eibar	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	5:5 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad	1:4 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Real Sociedad - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
04.10.25	Real Sociedad - Tenerife	1:2
18.05.25	Tenerife - Real Sociedad	4:1
14.12.24	Real Sociedad - Tenerife	2:0
12.05.24	Tenerife - Real Sociedad	0:1
07.01.24	Real Sociedad - Tenerife	3:3
Club Friendly Women
19.08.23	Real Sociedad - Tenerife	1:0
Spanish Liga F Women
26.01.23	Tenerife - Real Sociedad	2:1

Tenerife - Real Sociedad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide