The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volta Redonda 51.8%
Draw 28.6%
Nova Iguaçu 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
28.9%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
28.2%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volta Redonda's performance.
Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nova Iguaçu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Volta Redonda - Nova Iguaçu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Jean Drosny (G) 5. Bruno Barra (C) 9. Bruno Santos 4. Fabricio 28. Gabriel Bahia 22. Juninho Monteiro 17. Kelvin 11. MV 20. Pierre 10. PK 2. Wellington Silva
1. Lucas Maticoli (G) 11. Andrey 5. Fernandinho 2. Gabriel Pinheiro (C) 8. Jorge Pedra 10. Lucas Cruz 3. Mateus Muller 6. Renan 9. Victor Rangel 7. Xandinho 4. Yan Silva
Substitutes
1. Avelino (G) 26. Caceres L. 30. Caio Vitor 14. Chay 29. Heliardo 21. Henrique Silva 13. Lucas Souza 7. Luciano Naninho 18. Marquinhos 27. Mirandinha 6. Sanchez 16. Wallace
19. Antonio 18. Caio Hones 14. Guilherme Henrique 15. Igor Guilherme 17. Igor Lemos 20. Joao Silva 21. Kauan 22. Kennyd 13. Matheus Matias 16. Mayron 12. Pedro Zanette (G)
Coaches
Rogerio Correa
Carlos Vitor
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Victor Rangel ↓, Caio Hones ↑,
45+1', Fernandinho 🟨,
45+4', Yan Silva 🟨,
45+4', Lucas Cruz 🟨,
45+5', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lucas Cruz ↓, Joao Silva ↑,
46', Yan Silva ↓, Guilherme Henrique ↑,
51', Renan 🟨,
65', Gabriel Bahia 🟨,
69', Gabriel Bahia ↓, Chay ↑,
71', PK ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
71', Juninho Monteiro ↓, Sanchez ↑,
72', Sanchez 🟨,
75', Kelvin ↓, Mirandinha ↑,
76', Fernandinho ↓, Igor Guilherme ↑,
76', Andrey 🟨,
83', Bruno Santos ↓, Heliardo ↑,
89', Andrey ↓, Antonio ↑,
90', Mateus Muller 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 1.
Volta Redonda is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Nova Iguaçu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Volta Redonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Volta Redonda will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.6:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Volta Redonda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 2.2:1.8).
Brazil
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Jean Drosny (G) 
Caceres L. 
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