Match Info

National League - Round 46

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Maidenhead United		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.5
	1.58	3.8	4.4
	2.1	3.45	3.3
	1.61	4.29	4.91
	2.06	3.51	3.39	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	1.99	3.5	3.41
	2.1	3.45	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.28)	3.56 ↑ (3.24)	3.71 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
48.3%

Draw
26.4%

Boston United
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maidenhead United's performance.

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boston United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maidenhead United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Maidenhead United - Boston United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Maidenhead will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Boston United will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maidenhead: 73.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Maidenhead (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maidenhead United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Maidenhead (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Howes S. (G) 20. Clerima R. 4. De Havilland W. (C) 10. Ferdinand K. 8. Ferguson N. 21. Kiernan B. 9. McCoulsky S. 30. Onariase E. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.	1. Gregory C. (G) 39. Gale J. 20. Green O. 18. Knowles J. 23. Mills Z. (C) 4. Roberts M. 12. Rowe J. 27. Scott J. 21. Sloggett G. 11. Wadsworth N. 7. Ward K.
Substitutes
23. Abrahams T. 25. Barratt S. 19. Cochrane O. 15. Johnson J. 24. Massey A. 13. Ross C. (G) 14. Sho-Silva T.	38. Alonzi L. 2. Coates K. 30. Lovelace J. (G) 10. Marriott A. 17. Nicholson B. 19. Richards J. 16. Weston T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, McCoulsky S. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
37', De Havilland W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Roberts M. ↓, Nicholson B. ↑,
55', Knowles J. ↓, Alonzi L. ↑,
56', Wadsworth N. ↓, Coates K. ↑,
56', Green O. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
62', Kiernan B. ↓, Barratt S. ↑,
66', Scott J. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, McCoulsky S. (Pen),
70', Ferdinand K. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
70', Alonzi L. 🟨,
80', Ferguson N. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,
80', Gale J. ↓, Marriott A. ↑,
86', De Havilland W. ↓, Massey A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Abrahams T. ⚽, Johnson J. (A),
90+3', Abrahams T. 🟨,
90+3', Smith R. ↓, Cochrane O. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Maidenhead could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maidenhead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Maidenhead United - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.73%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
26.04.25	Ebbsfleet United - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Wealdstone - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Maidenhead United - Woking	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Halifax Town - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Maidenhead United - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTTWW
- Boston United
English National League
26.04.25	Boston United - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Solihull Moors - Boston United	3:2 ✺
18.04.25	Boston United - Wealdstone	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Boston United - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
08.04.25	Aldershot Town - Boston United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.09.24	Boston United - Maidenhead United	1:2

Upcoming Matches