Match Info

National League - Round 44

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Grosvenor Vale (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Wealdstone		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.8
	2.05	3.4	2.9
	2.2	3.84	2.98
	2.19	3.74	2.92	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.19	3.6	2.88
	2.12	3.65	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.03)	3.59 ↓ (3.67)	2.94 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wealdstone
42.8%

Draw
25.7%

Maidenhead United
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

25.2%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

25.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Wealdstone - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Baptiste D. (G) 7. Boldewijn E. 11. Carayol M. 21. Cesay K. 5. Dyer A. 27. Grant J. 24. McAvoy C. 16. Randall W. 22. Reid A. 29. Sohna H. 4. Woodman D.	34. Howes S. (G) 20. Clerima R. 4. De Havilland W. 10. Ferdinand K. 15. Johnson J. 21. Kiernan B. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 9. McCoulsky S. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.
Substitutes
31. Gunter L. (G) 17. Hutchinson D. 10. Kretzschmar M. 19. Mariappa A. 26. Omole T. 18. Scott C. 12. Sekyere J.	23. Abrahams T. 25. Barratt S. 19. Cochrane O. 8. Ferguson N. 24. Massey A. 14. Sho-Silva T. 26. Wreh C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Kiernan B. ⚽,
10', Woodman D. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Cesay K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', De Havilland W. 🟨,
54', De Havilland W. ↓, Massey A. ↑,
63', Kiernan B. ↓, Barratt S. ↑,
63', Johnson J. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,
67', Sohna H. 🟨,
71', Sohna H. ↓, Kretzschmar M. ↑,
71', Randall W. ↓, Hutchinson D. ↑,
76', Pettit C. ↓, Ferguson N. ↑,
84', Dyer A. ↓, Mariappa A. ↑,
88', Ferdinand K. ↓, Sho-Silva T. ↑,
90+4', Cesay K. 🟨,
90+4', Ferguson N. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wealdstone won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Wealdstone will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Wealdstone won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:28 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Wealdstone won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:14 (average 0.8:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Maidenhead United - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.16%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wealdstone
English National League
18.04.25	Boston United - Wealdstone	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Barnet - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Wealdstone - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Wealdstone - Boston United	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	York City - Wealdstone	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LTWWL
- Maidenhead United
English National League
18.04.25	Maidenhead United - Woking	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Halifax Town - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Maidenhead United - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Maidenhead United - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.12.24	Maidenhead United - Wealdstone	3:1
06.02.24	Wealdstone - Maidenhead United	0:1
26.12.23	Maidenhead United - Wealdstone	0:2
01.01.23	Maidenhead United - Wealdstone	0:0
26.12.22	Wealdstone - Maidenhead United	3:2
05.04.22	Wealdstone - Maidenhead United	0:0
08.03.22	Maidenhead United - Wealdstone	0:2

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