The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maidstone United 43.2%
Draw 26%
Maidenhead United 30.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.7%
26.7%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
26.8%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maidenhead United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maidenhead United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Maidstone United - Maidenhead United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Gravata L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Foran T. ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Coley J. ⚽,
Preview
The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Maidstone (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Maidenhead has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Maidstone is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Maidstone has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:17 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Maidstone against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 1.4:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Maidstone
14
8
2
4
24:17
7
26
18
Maidenhead
14
3
5
6
14:19
-5
14
Outrights of English National League South for now
Maidstone: 10.68% Maidenhead: 0.75%
Last Results with these Odds
Maidstone United - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 47.66%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Maidenhead United - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 25.6%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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