The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maidstone United 35.9%
Draw 25.9%
Truro City 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
26.6%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
27.6%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maidstone United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Truro City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Maidstone United - Truro City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Boateng N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 1 - 1, Stretton J. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Stretton J. ⚽,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ National League and 7th in the Promotion ~ National League South PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 3.
Maidstone has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Truro is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Maidstone could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Truro has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Maidstone has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:8 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Maidstone against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Outrights of English National League South for now
Maidstone: 9.77% Truro: 6.51%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Maidstone
10
6
1
3
18:11
7
19
4
Truro
10
5
3
2
15:7
8
18
Last Results with these Odds
Maidstone United - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.17%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
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