Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Blacksmiths Oval (Lake Macquarie)


	Belmont Swansea United		Valentine Phoenix

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	4.75	Watch
	1.36	5.43	5.79
	1.42	5.45	5.43	Watch
	1.4	4.8	5
	1.37	5.05	5.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	5.15 ↑ (4.78)	5.34 ↓ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belmont Swansea United
65.2%

Draw
17.7%

Valentine Phoenix
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.9%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

18%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belmont Swansea United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Valentine Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belmont Swansea United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentine Phoenix than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Belmont Swansea United - Valentine Phoenix Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Belmont Swansea will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Belmont Swansea is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valentine has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Belmont Swansea is a strong favorite.

We predict that Belmont Swansea will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Belmont Swansea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Belmont Swansea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belmont Swansea United
Australian NPL Northern NSW
09.05.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Belmont Swansea United	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Lambton Jaffas - Belmont Swansea United	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Kahibah	5:3 ✺
19.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Edgeworth Eagles	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWTW
- Valentine Phoenix
Australian NPL Northern NSW
09.05.26	Weston Bears - Valentine Phoenix	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic	1:6 ✺
25.04.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Kahibah - Valentine Phoenix	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
21.02.26	Valentine Phoenix - Belmont Swansea United	1:2
31.05.25	Belmont Swansea United - Valentine Phoenix	2:1
01.03.25	Valentine Phoenix - Belmont Swansea United	2:2

Belmont Swansea United - Valentine Phoenix: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide