Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Deportivo Mixco		Deportivo Iztapa

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.25
	2	3	3.4
	2.03	3.2	3.3
	1.97	3.14	3.44
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2	3.4	3.42	Watch
	2.06	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.81)	3.17 ↓ (3.35)	3.35 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Mixco
44.7%

Draw
28.4%

Deportivo Iztapa
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

27.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Mixco's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Iztapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Mixco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Iztapa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Iztapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Mixco won 2.

Recent matches Deportivo Mixco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Iztapa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Deportivo Mixco is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Deportivo Mixco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Mixco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
04.03.23	Deportivo Mixco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
01.03.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Mixco	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
22.02.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Deportivo Mixco - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLW
- Deportivo Iztapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.03.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Achuapa	4:0 ✺
01.03.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Iztapa	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
22.02.23	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Iztapa	4:2 ✺
19.02.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.01.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Mixco	3:1
27.11.22	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Iztapa	2:2
18.09.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Mixco	3:0
05.02.20	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Iztapa	5:1
24.11.19	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Iztapa	2:1
15.09.19	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Mixco	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.11.26	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Mixco	✺

Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Iztapa