The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Malacateco 47.9%
Draw 28.8%
Deportivo Guastatoya 23.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.5%
27.8%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
28%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
. Guzman A. (G) . Andrade N. . Castanon J. . Chun M. . Correa J. . Cummings H. . de Leon I. . Meneses R. . Ochoa J. 8. Ramirez K. . Sanchez D.
1. Escobar R. (G) 7. Almanza J. 88. Alvarado C. 23. Armas V. 22. Avalos V. 14. Estrada J. . Macal L. 4. Morales B. 26. Pineda W. 13. Tejeda A. 44. Yori E.
Substitutes
24. Garcia R. 14. Guzman Miron D. J. . Longo J. . Morales A. . Morales F. . Quinones E. . Rendon C. (G) . Soto A. . Trigueno J.
8. Aguilar Y. 33. Contreras A. 25. Cruz G. O. 6. Estrada J. 19. Garrido S. 30. Hernandez B. (G) 15. Morales H. 35. Palencia E. 10. Sequen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Avalos V. 🟨,
42', Almanza J. 🟨,
45+4', Estrada J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Alvarado C. (Own goal),
59', Avalos V. ↓, Sequen M. ↑,
59', Estrada J. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
63', Armas V. 🟨,
67', Meneses R. ↓, Quinones E. ↑,
68', 🟨,
68', Pineda W. ↓, Aguilar Y. ↑,
75', Ramirez K. ↓, Morales F. ↑,
75', Correa J. ↓, Trigueno J. ↑,
78', Yori E. 🟨,
81', 2 - 0, Morales F. ⚽,
82', Armas V. ↓, Garrido S. ↑,
82', Macal L. ↓, Cruz G. O. ↑,
88', Andrade N. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
88', de Leon I. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
90+2', Contreras A. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 11th and 1st in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Malacateco (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Guastatoya is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Malacateco for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Malacateco has recorded 6 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:22 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Malacateco against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:5 goals (averaging 1.2:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Guastatoya
16
8
3
5
22:20
2
27
10
Malacateco
16
5
4
7
18:23
-5
19
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Guastatoya - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 21.69%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
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Guzman A. (G) 
Correa J. 
Cummings H. 
Meneses R. 
Sanchez D. 
Escobar R. (G) 
Tejeda A. 
Yori E. 
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