Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Winston Pineda (Jutiapa)


	Deportivo Achuapa		Malacateco

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.05	2.92
	2.34	3.05	3.15
	2.35	3.12	3.09	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.28	2.96	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)	3 ↓ (3.08)	3.05 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Achuapa
39.6%

Draw
30.5%

Malacateco
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ruiz L. (G) 24. Bol E. 88. Carabali Y. 13. Castrillo C. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 8. de Leon I. 23. Martir A. 91. Matta A. 20. Sanchez E. 66. Santos C. 21. Suazo D.	25. Jimenez M. (G) 11. Andrade N. 13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 21. Lopez A. 6. Morales A. 2. Palencia D. 32. Perez Ochoa C. A. 24. Quinteros F. 8. Ramirez K. 5. Soto A. 16. Torres Chavez V. G.
Substitutes
. Acosta D. 19. Betancourt S. 11. Castillo K. 30. Corado J. 4. Gaitan M. 10. Macal E. 17. Mejia C. . Perez L. 37. Perez Sarceno B. E. (G) 25. Tiul K.	93. Chun M. 14. Guzman Miron D. J. 17. Meneses R. 4. Morales B. 10. Ochoa J. 27. Paz V. 23. Roskopf M. 9. Trigueno J. 20. Vasquez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Jimenez M. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martir A. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Santos C. ⚽,
54', Quinteros F. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
54', Angulo Grueso B. A. ↓, Roskopf M. ↑,
66', Bol E. ↓, Macal E. ↑,
74', Soto A. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
74', Morales A. ↓, Paz V. ↑,
78', 🟨,
81', Matta A. ↓, Corado J. ↑,
81', de Leon I. ↓, Tiul K. ↑,
81', Sanchez E. ↓, Castillo K. ↑,
83', Morales B. ↓, Trigueno J. ↑,
89', Carabali Y. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 0.

Achuapa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Malacateco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Achuapa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Achuapa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Achuapa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Malacateco	12	3	3	6	12:19	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Achuapa - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.91%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
06.04.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Mictlán	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.04.26	Xelajú - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Municipal - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Malacateco - Aurora	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Mictlán - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.02.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1
05.11.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	0:1
30.08.25	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0
28.03.25	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0
26.01.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	0:0
20.10.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	0:2
02.08.24	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	0:2

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