Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 15

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa		Malacateco

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.23	3	2.9
	2.47	3.07	2.87
	2.38	3.14	2.88
	2.32	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.09)	3.05 ↓ (3.12)	2.93 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
39.2%

Draw
29.8%

Malacateco
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

27.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Malacateco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Malacateco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 0.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Santa Lucía will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucía won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.03.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	5:2 ✺
11.03.23	Xelajú - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Deportivo Mixco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
01.03.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Iztapa	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.03.23	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Malacateco - Cobán Imperial	0:1 ✺
01.03.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	4:3 ✺
26.02.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Malacateco	1:1 ✺
22.02.23	Malacateco - Municipal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
04.02.23	Malacateco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	3:0
16.10.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Malacateco	1:1
10.08.22	Malacateco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	3:1
20.04.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Malacateco	1:1
13.02.22	Malacateco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:1
19.12.21	Malacateco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0
12.12.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Malacateco	1:0

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