Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday


	Malacateco		Deportivo Sanarate

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	4.75
	1.66	3.35	4.8
	1.74	3.53	5.1
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.72	3.46	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.72)	3.43 ↓ (3.44)	4.85 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malacateco
54.6%

Draw
26.6%

Deportivo Sanarate
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Deportivo Sanarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malacateco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Sanarate than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Malacateco - Deportivo Sanarate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 9 and 10).

Recent matches Malacateco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sanarate is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sanarate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Malacateco is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Malacateco won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Malacateco won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.04.21	Deportivo Sacachispas - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
25.04.21	Malacateco - Cobán Imperial	0:0 ✺
21.04.21	Deportivo Guastatoya - Malacateco	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
14.04.21	Municipal - Malacateco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTWL
- Deportivo Sanarate
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.04.21	Deportivo Sanarate - Xelajú	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Sanarate	1:0 ✺
21.04.21	Deportivo Sanarate - Deportivo Iztapa	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Sanarate	3:0 ✺
14.04.21	Deportivo Sanarate - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.12.20	Deportivo Sanarate - Malacateco	2:1
16.02.20	Malacateco - Deportivo Sanarate	0:3
24.11.19	Deportivo Sanarate - Malacateco	1:0
14.09.19	Malacateco - Deportivo Sanarate	2:0
24.03.19	Malacateco - Deportivo Sanarate	1:1
27.01.19	Deportivo Sanarate - Malacateco	1:0
31.10.18	Malacateco - Deportivo Sanarate	3:0

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