Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santa Lucía (Malacatán)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America


	Malacateco		Deportivo Achuapa

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.05	6.5
	1.44	4.48	6.54	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.54	4.06	5.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	4.1 ↑ (3.88)	6.32 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malacateco
63%

Draw
22.4%

Deportivo Achuapa
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

23.4%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

24.7%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Jimenez M. (G) 11. Andrade N. 13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 6. de Leon F. 21. Lopez A. 66. Morales A. 4. Morales B. . Palencia D. 8. Ramirez K. 5. Soto A. 16. Torres Chavez V. G.	12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 29. Asprilla J. 88. Carabali Y. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 8. de Leon I. 4. Gaitan M. 22. Gonzalez C. . Palma D. 2. Suazo D. 25. Tiul K. 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
93. Chun M. . Giron Escobar M. R. 30. Guzman A. (G) 17. Meneses R. 10. Ochoa J. 44. Paz V. 33. Quinteros F. 23. Roskopf M. 18. Trigueno J.	36. Aquino D. . Carias P. 10. Macal E. . Martir A. 91. Matta A. 7. Mejia C. 27. Ruiz L. (G) 20. Sanchez E. 66. Santos C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gonzalez C. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
46', Palma D. ↓, Macal E. ↑,
46', Angulo Grueso B. A. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
46', Morales A. ↓, Meneses R. ↑,
46', de Leon F. ↓, Roskopf M. ↑,
59', Asprilla J. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
59', de Leon I. ↓, Santos C. ↑,
65', Suazo D. 🟨,
65', Suazo D. ↓, Matta A. ↑,
69', Soto A. 🟨,
72', Soto A. ↓, Paz V. ↑,
72', Lopez A. ↓, Giron Escobar M. R. ↑,
73', Roskopf M. (Penalty Awarded),
77', 1 - 1, Paz V. ⚽,
77', 🟨,
88', Sanchez E. 🟨,
89', Gaitan M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 4.

In recent matches, Malacateco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Achuapa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Achuapa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Malacateco is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Malacateco won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.1:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Malacateco	12	3	3	6	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.02.26	Malacateco - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Malacateco	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Malacateco - Municipal	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Aurora - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
29.01.26	Malacateco - Mictlán	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLLW
- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
17.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Municipal - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Aurora	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Mictlán - Deportivo Achuapa	0:1 ✺
28.01.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.11.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	0:1
30.08.25	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0
28.03.25	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0
26.01.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	0:0
20.10.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	0:2
02.08.24	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	0:2
14.04.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	2:0

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