Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Santa Lucía (Malacatán)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America


	Malacateco		Mictlán

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.45	4.95
	1.62	3.68	5.36
	1.6	3.84	5.39	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.57	3.48	5.65	Watch
	1.58	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)	3.56 ↓ (3.87)	5.23 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Malacateco
56.9%

Draw
25.6%

Mictlán
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

23.1%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Mictlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Malacateco - Mictlán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Jimenez M. (G) 11. Andrade N. 13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 21. Lopez A. 17. Meneses R. 66. Morales A. 4. Morales B. 33. Quinteros F. 23. Roskopf M. 5. Soto A. 16. Torres Chavez V. G.	1. Faust J. (G) 80. Chavasco G. 26. Escobar J. 29. Fajardo W. 7. Herrarte K. 77. Lemus M. 21. Meza P. 14. Monges R. 44. Ramirez W. 9. Rodriguez J. 19. Salguero O.
Substitutes
93. Chun M. 6. de Leon F. 30. Guzman A. (G) 19. Guzman Miron D. J. 44. Paz V. 31. Perez Ochoa C. A. 18. Trigueno J. 9. Vasquez G.	8. Barillas C. 88. Chinchilla C. 13. Figueroa J. (G) . Korich E. . Menendez B. 6. Osorio J. . Racancoj J. 31. Rivas B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Morales A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Roskopf M. ⚽,
59', Meza P. 🟥,
59', Lemus M. ↓, Menendez B. ↑,
60', Fajardo W. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
64', Morales B. ↓, de Leon F. ↑,
64', Angulo Grueso B. A. ↓, Perez Ochoa C. A. ↑,
71', Andrade N. ↓, Trigueno J. ↑,
71', Lopez A. ↓, Paz V. ↑,
74', Roskopf M. ↓, Vasquez G. ↑,
78', Herrarte K. ↓, Chinchilla C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mictlán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Malacateco is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Malacateco won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Malacateco	12	3	3	6	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.01.26	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Malacateco - Marquense	2:1 ✺
10.12.25	Aurora - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Malacateco - Aurora	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Antigua GFC - Malacateco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL
- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.01.26	Mictlán - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Municipal - Mictlán	1:2 ✺
10.12.25	Municipal - Mictlán	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Mictlán - Municipal	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Cobán Imperial - Mictlán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
04.10.25	Malacateco - Mictlán	1:0
26.07.25	Mictlán - Malacateco	2:2
25.03.17	Malacateco - Mictlán	2:0
29.01.17	Mictlán - Malacateco	1:1
23.10.16	Malacateco - Mictlán	3:0
31.07.16	Mictlán - Malacateco	2:1
09.03.16	Malacateco - Mictlán	3:0

Upcoming Matches