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Current Win Probability
Antigua GFC 62.3%
Draw 22.9%
Malacateco 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
24.6%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
24%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Antigua GFC - Malacateco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moran L. (G) 12. Ardon J. 77. Camargo E. 10. Castaneda B. 17. Castellanos O. 2. Grijalva K. 20. Herrera A. 15. Maziero A. 33. Prillwitz H. 21. Robinson A. 18. Santis O.
25. Jimenez M. (G) 21. Lopez A. 6. Morales A. 4. Morales B. 10. Ochoa J. 32. Perez Ochoa C. A. 8. Ramirez K. 5. Soto A. 16. Torres Chavez V. G. 9. Trigueno J. 20. Vasquez G.
Substitutes
13. Bradley D. 4. Carbonell J. . Colindres J. 30. de L. B. 14. Garzaro S. 99. Macareno K. . Ortigoza L. 25. Santis D. 70. Sican E. (G)
11. Andrade N. 30. Guzman A. (G) 17. Meneses R. 15. Morales G. 2. Palencia D. 27. Paz V. 24. Quinteros F. 23. Roskopf M. . Sanchez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Maziero A. ⚽,
17', Perez Ochoa C. A. 🟨,
18', 2 - 0, Santis O. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Ramirez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castaneda B. ↓, de L. B. ↑,
56', Lopez A. ↓, Palencia D. ↑,
56', Morales A. ↓, Meneses R. ↑,
56', Ochoa J. ↓, Paz V. ↑,
62', Maziero A. ↓, Macareno K. ↑,
67', Herrera A. ↓, Bradley D. ↑,
73', Ramirez K. ↓, Quinteros F. ↑,
76', Castellanos O. ↓, Garzaro S. ↑,
76', Santis O. ↓, Colindres J. ↑,
86', Trigueno J. ↓, Roskopf M. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Antigua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Antigua is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Antigua won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).