Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Asuncion (Asuncion Mita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala


	Mictlán		Municipal

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.25	2.88	2.18
	3.65	3.01	2.15
	3.46	2.97	2.25	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.36	3.15	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.07)	3 ↓ (3.12)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mictlán
27.5%

Draw
30.5%

Municipal
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.9%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

28%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mictlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Mictlán - Municipal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faust J. (G) 80. Chavasco G. 9. Colon S. 29. Fajardo W. 30. Folleco R. 3. Herrarte J. 7. Herrarte K. 77. Lemus M. 34. Monges R. 44. Ramirez W. 19. Salguero O.	1. Linares B. (G) 24. Cabeza A. 31. Calderon C. 52. David A. 18. Franco J. 19. Hernandez C. 3. Mena J. 92. Mendez J. 16. Morales J. 43. Perez Y. Y. 8. Saravia R.
Substitutes
88. Chinchilla C. 26. Escobar J. 23. Figueroa J. (G) 11. Martinez C. 5. Menendez B. 4. Meza P. 28. Monroy E. 31. Rivas B. . Rodriguez J.	23. Aguilar C. 22. Aldana D. (G) 10. Altan P. 21. Baltazar Y. 26. Barrientos R. 6. Jimenez C. 5. Matos Y. 7. Munoz R. 14. Torres D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Colon S. ⚽,
40', Lemus M. 🟨,
45', Saravia R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mendez J. ↓, Munoz R. ↑,
46', Saravia R. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
47', Folleco R. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Calderon C. ⚽,
59', Cabeza A. ↓, Matos Y. ↑,
61', Chavasco G. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
62', Herrarte K. ↓, Chinchilla C. ↑,
65', Herrarte J. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
67', Hernandez C. ↓, Barrientos R. ↑,
77', Lemus M. ↓, Monroy E. ↑,
77', Colon S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
80', Mena J. 🟨,
84', Perez Y. Y. ↓, Jimenez C. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Escobar J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Municipal might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mictlán won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Municipal	10	7	2	1	16:5	11	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.03.26	Xelajú - Mictlán	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Deportivo Mixco - Mictlán	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Mictlán - Marquense	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Comunicaciones - Mictlán	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWLT
- CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
04.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Municipal	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Municipal - Marquense	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Comunicaciones - Municipal	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Municipal - Antigua GFC	4:2 ✺
18.02.26	Cobán Imperial - Municipal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.01.26	Municipal - Mictlán	1:2
10.12.25	Municipal - Mictlán	2:0
06.12.25	Mictlán - Municipal	0:1
06.11.25	Municipal - Mictlán	1:0
31.08.25	Mictlán - Municipal	0:0
29.03.17	Mictlán - Municipal	0:0
01.02.17	Municipal - Mictlán	2:0

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