Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Santa Lucía (Malacatán)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America


	Malacateco		Municipal

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.6
	2.58	2.92	2.62
	2.86	2.8	2.75
	2.76	3.01	2.66	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.5
	2.73	2.77	2.59
	2.71	2.71	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.61)	2.85 ↓ (3.01)	2.63 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Malacateco
33.7%

Draw
31.8%

Municipal
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Malacateco - Municipal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Municipal (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Municipal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Jimenez M. (G) 6. de Leon F. 21. Lopez A. 66. Morales A. 4. Morales B. 10. Ochoa J. 44. Paz V. 31. Perez Ochoa C. A. 23. Roskopf M. 5. Soto A. 16. Torres Chavez V. G.	12. Navarro K. (G) 23. Aguilar C. 10. Altan P. 31. Calderon C. 52. David A. 18. Franco J. 5. Matos Y. 3. Mena J. 92. Mendez J. 43. Perez Y. Y. 4. Samayoa N.
Substitutes
11. Andrade N. 13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 93. Chun M. 19. Guzman Miron D. J. 7. Martinez L. . Palencia D. 33. Quinteros F. 18. Trigueno J. 9. Vasquez G.	20. Archila C. . Arias P. 21. Baltazar Y. 19. Hernandez C. 6. Jimenez C. 1. Linares B. (G) 16. Morales J. 14. Torres D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Soto A. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Matos Y. ⚽,
41', Ochoa J. ↓, Andrade N. ↑,
41', Morales B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Morales B. 🟥,
47', Lopez A. 🟨,
50', Mendez J. 🟨,
51', 0 - 2, Matos Y. ⚽,
56', Mendez J. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
56', Perez Ochoa C. A. ↓, Angulo Grueso B. A. ↑,
56', Soto A. ↓, Palencia D. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Angulo Grueso B. A. ⚽,
73', de Leon F. ↓, Quinteros F. ↑,
73', Roskopf M. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
73', David A. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Samayoa N. ⚽,
80', Altan P. ↓, Archila C. ↑,
80', Aguilar C. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 1.

Recent performances by Malacateco have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Municipal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Municipal has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:39. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Malacateco won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Municipal	10	7	2	1	16:5	11	23
11	Malacateco	12	3	3	6	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.02.26	Aurora - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
29.01.26	Malacateco - Mictlán	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Malacateco - Marquense	2:1 ✺
10.12.25	Aurora - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWL
- CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
31.01.26	Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Municipal - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Aurora - Municipal	2:2 ✺
22.01.26	Municipal - Mictlán	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Municipal - Antigua GFC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.10.25	Municipal - Malacateco	4:1
16.08.25	Malacateco - Municipal	2:3
06.04.25	Malacateco - Municipal	0:1
01.02.25	Municipal - Malacateco	4:2
26.10.24	Malacateco - Municipal	4:0
11.08.24	Municipal - Malacateco	0:0
28.04.24	Municipal - Malacateco	4:0

Upcoming Matches