Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	101tv


	Malaga B		Melilla

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	1.92
	3.02	3.67	1.97
	3.1	3.88	1.97
	3.25	3.3	1.95
	3.11	3.58	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.41)	3.59 ↑ (3.44)	1.96 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malaga B
28.7%

Draw
25.2%

Melilla
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.3%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

25.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malaga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malaga B's form might have worsened.

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malaga B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Malaga B - Melilla Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Malaga B (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Malaga B (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Chamorro A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
49', 2 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽,
55', 3 - 0, Perea G. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, Chavarria M. ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, Chavarria M. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 3, Claverias A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Malaga B is Relegated to

Melilla is Relegated to

In recent matches, Malaga B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Melilla has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Melilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Malaga B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Malaga B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malaga B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.04.26	Puente Genil - Malaga B	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Malaga B - Antoniano	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	UCAM Murcia - Malaga B	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Malaga B - Real Jaén	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	La Unión - Malaga B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWLWL
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.04.26	Melilla - Linares Deportivo	2:4 ✺
19.04.26	Recreativo Huelva - Melilla	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Melilla - Águilas	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Estepona - Melilla	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Melilla - Almeria B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.19	Malaga B - Melilla	3:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.03.19	Melilla - Malaga B	2:1
11.11.18	Malaga B - Melilla	0:1

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