Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	101tv


	Malaga B		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.65	1.62
	4.3	3.97	1.68
	4.35	4.03	1.64
	4.9	3.61	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↓ (6.32)	3.82 ↑ (3.79)	1.66 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malaga B
20.4%

Draw
24.1%

Real Jaén
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

24.1%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

23.6%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malaga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malaga B's performance.

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Jaén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malaga B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Jaén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Malaga B - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Rosa M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Siverio M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 1, Perea G. ⚽,
83', Martos M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Malaga B is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malaga B won 5.

Malaga B is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jaén is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Jaén is the clear favorite.

We predict that Jaén will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Malaga B won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Malaga B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malaga B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.03.26	La Unión - Malaga B	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Malaga B	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Malaga B - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Minera - Malaga B	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Malaga B - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.03.26	Real Jaén - Xerez CD	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Recreativo Huelva - Real Jaén	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Real Jaén - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Linares Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Real Jaén - Águilas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
10.05.25	Real Jaén - Malaga B	1:3
12.01.25	Malaga B - Real Jaén	2:0
09.03.24	Malaga B - Real Jaén	1:0
29.10.23	Real Jaén - Malaga B	1:2
07.05.23	Real Jaén - Malaga B	1:2
30.04.23	Malaga B - Real Jaén	1:1
12.03.23	Malaga B - Real Jaén	0:0

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