Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Jaén		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.92	3.35
	2.07	3.13	3.72
	2.07	3.06	3.62	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.5
	2.04	2.99	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 (2.07)	3 ↓ (3.07)	3.57 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
44.1%

Draw
30.4%

Xerez CD
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

30.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Real Jaén - Xerez CD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Gonzalez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', Campos G. 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 0, Alonso A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Jaén will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaén won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Xerez CD	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.03.26	Recreativo Huelva - Real Jaén	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Real Jaén - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Linares Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Real Jaén - Águilas	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTWW
- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.03.26	Xerez CD - La Unión	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Malaga B - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Xerez CD - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Xerez CD - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Minera - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.25	Xerez CD - Real Jaén	1:0

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