Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 16

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Mali Coura		Diarra

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.15	1.62
	5.86	3.07	1.69	Watch
	6	3.25	1.57
	6.23	3.38	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.95 ↓ (6.11)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mali Coura
15.4%

Draw
28.5%

Diarra
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

28%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

27.5%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mali Coura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mali Coura than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+2%)

Mali Coura - Diarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Mali Coura is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Diarra is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Diarra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mali Coura won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	8	44
13	Mali Coura	26	4	8	14	20:31	-11	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mali Coura
Malian Première Division
07.03.26	Binga - Mali Coura	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Mali Coura - Bakaridjan	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Mali Coura - USFAS Bamako	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Mali Coura - Derby Académie	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bougouni - Mali Coura	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLTW
- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
07.03.26	Diarra - Bougouni	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Onze Créateurs - Diarra	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Djoliba - Diarra	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Diarra - Bougouba	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Diarra - Afrique Football Elite	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
05.12.25	Diarra - Mali Coura	1:0

Mali Coura - Diarra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide