Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 15

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Diarra		Bougouni

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.5	7
	1.47	3.55	6.9	Watch
	1.47	3.66	7.47	Watch
	1.44	3.54	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	3.56 ↓ (3.59)	7.34 ↓ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diarra
62.2%

Draw
25.5%

Bougouni
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

25.6%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

24.6%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Diarra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bougouni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Diarra - Bougouni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Diarra is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bougouni is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bougouni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Diarra is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Diarra will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diarra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	8	44
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
28.02.26	Onze Créateurs - Diarra	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Djoliba - Diarra	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Diarra - Bougouba	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Diarra - Afrique Football Elite	4:0 ✺
15.01.26	Korofina - Diarra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTTWW
- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
27.02.26	Binga - Bougouni	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bougouni - Bakaridjan	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bougouni - Mali Coura	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Bougouni - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
29.11.25	Bougouni - Diarra	0:1
17.02.25	Diarra - Bougouni	0:0

Diarra - Bougouni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide