Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	SÝN Sport
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	VIX App


	Malmö		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5
	1.65	4	5.5
	1.62	3.96	5.95
	1.71	3.99	4.50	Watch
	1.65	4.02	5.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.71)	3.99 (3.99)	5.42 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
58.3%

Draw
24%

Ludogorets Razgrad
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

22.9%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.5%	3.6%	1.8%

Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Malmö (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (52 of 54 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.27% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malmö will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 22 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Olsen R. (G) 17. Stryger J. 18. Jansson P. 19. Rosler C. 25. Busanello 38. Bolin H. 7. Rosengren O. 37. Skogmar A. 29. Haksabanovic S. 10. Christiansen A. (C) 32. Gudjohnsen D. T.	1. Padt S. (C) 2. Andersson J. 4. Almeida D. 15. Kurtulus E. 17. Son 30. Pedro Naressi 14. Stanic P. 23. Duarte D. 77. Erick Marcus 29. Bile E. 11. Caio Vidal
Substitutes
22. Ali T. 16. Berg O. 40. Busuladzic K. 5. Djuric A. 11. Ekong E. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 21. Holmquist S. 23. Johnsen L. 2. Karlsson J. 6. Lewicki O. 13. Olsson M. 15. Soumah S.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 18. Chochev I. 67. Hristov D. (G) 90. Ivanov R. 99. Ivanov S. 26. Kaloc F. 10. Machado M. 40. Marinov A. 42. Shishkov S. 80. Stefanov M. 37. Tekpetey B. 24. Verdon O.
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Mota R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Busanello 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Stanic P. (Pen),
23', 0 - 2, Bile E. ⚽,
43', Skogmar A. 🟨,
45+6', Christiansen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Christiansen A. ↓, Johnsen L. ↑,
61', Son 🟨,
63', Bile E. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
63', Stanic P. ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
76', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
76', Skogmar A. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Johnsen L. ⚽, Ali T. (A),
81', Erick Marcus ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
88', Duarte D. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
88', Almeida D. ↓, Verdon O. ↑,
89', Caio Vidal 🟨,
90+1', Pedro Naressi 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Malmö is the team to beat.

There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ludogorets: Terziev G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Malmö: Olsson M. (Muscle Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ludogorets: Camara A. (Injury) Duah K. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.25	Malmö - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
17.09.25	Olympic - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.09.25	Elfsborg - Malmö	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Malmö - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	Sigma Olomouc - Malmö	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTTW
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.09.25	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo	4:1 ET ✺
21.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
24.08.21	Ludogorets Razgrad - Malmö	2:1
18.08.21	Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:0

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