Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 20, Blue Sport 20
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 12
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Malmö		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.3
	3.1	3.4	2.35
	3.26	3.36	2.42
	3.80	2.49	2.50	Watch
	3.17	3.42	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.26)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	2.41 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
29.6%

Draw
30.1%

Dinamo Zagreb
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27.3%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

27.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Malmö aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	12.1%	72.7%

Malmö - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 9 - 13.8%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 48 - 73.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 63.1% – 84.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Malmö (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dinamo Zagreb will win (30 of 35 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 30 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ellborg M. (G) 17. Stryger J. 18. Jansson P. (C) 19. Rosler C. 25. Busanello 38. Bolin H. 6. Lewicki O. 7. Rosengren O. 40. Busuladzic K. 29. Haksabanovic S. 11. Ekong E.	33. Nevistic I. (G) 25. Valincic M. 36. Dominguez S. 26. McKenna S. 3. Goda B. 8. Zajc M. 27. Misic J. (C) 21. Lisica M. 77. Ljubicic D. 11. Hoxha A. 9. Beljo D.
Substitutes
22. Ali T. 27. Dahlin J. (G) 5. Djuric A. 21. Holmquist S. 2. Karlsson J. 48. Lundbergh T. 13. Olsson M. 46. Palac A. 50. Persson J. (G) 37. Skogmar A. 15. Soumah S.	71. Bakrar M. 44. Filipovic I. (G) 15. Galesic N. 86. Jakirovic L. 17. Kulenovic S. 20. Mudrazija R. 22. Perez Vinlof M. 14. Soldo M. 7. Stojkovic L. 23. Varela C. 10. Vidovic G. 6. Villar G.
Coaches
Mravac A.	Kovacevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Busuladzic K. 🟨,
23', Beljo D. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Lewicki O. ⚽, Rosengren O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Zajc M. ↓, Stojkovic L. ↑,
61', Beljo D. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
69', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,
77', Lisica M. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
77', Ljubicic D. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
82', Ekong E. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
82', Stryger J. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,
85', Hoxha A. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
90', Dominguez S. 🟨,
90+3', Lewicki O. ↓, Djuric A. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Varela C. ⚽, Bakrar M. (A),

Preview

Malmö has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dinamo Zagreb is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Christiansen A. (Injury) Gudjohnsen D. T. (Red Card) Johnsen L. (Red Card) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Injury)

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Pierre-Gabriel R. (Injury) Torrente R. (Knee Injury) Zivkovic M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Lisica M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.10.25	Norrköping - Malmö	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Sirius - Malmö	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Malmö	3:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.09.25	Malmö - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
18.10.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Osijek	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
28.09.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Fenerbahçe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW

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