Match Info

Date: 21 July 2021, Wednesday


	Malmö		HJK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.48	4	6.75
	1.47	4	7.5	Watch
	1.45	4.1	6.2
	1.49	4.28	7.54
	1.35	4	9	Watch
	1.44	4.15	7.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	4.09 ↑ (4.02)	7.4 ↓ (7.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
64.5%

Draw
22.8%

HJK
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

23.1%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

12.2%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-30.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.6%	4.8%	9.6%

Malmö - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (89 of 104 users predict this - 85.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.83% – 92.33%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Malmö is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Malmö won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Malmö won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.07.21	Degerfors - Malmö	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.21	Riga - Malmö	1:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.07.21	Malmö - Sirius	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.07.21	Malmö - Riga	1:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.07.21	Norrköping - Malmö	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWWL
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.07.21	Oulu - HJK	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.21	Budućnost Podgorica - HJK	0:4 ✺
06.07.21	HJK - Budućnost Podgorica	3:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.06.21	HIFK - HJK	0:1 ✺
24.06.21	HJK - KTP Kotka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.03.16	Malmö - HJK	4:0
20.11.14	Malmö - HJK	4:0

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