Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+, YLE Areena, YLE TV2
World	Onefootball


	HJK		KTP Kotka

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.25	12	Watch
	1.21	6.5	12.5
	1.25	6.45	10.5	Watch
	1.27	6.59	9.9
	1.27	6.28	9.97	Watch
	1.22	6	11
	1.24	5.82	11.1	Watch
	1.26	6.55	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.25)	6.31 ↑ (5)	11 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
76.4%

Draw
15%

KTP Kotka
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

18%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

HJK - KTP Kotka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - HJK (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: HJK will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): HJK will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. HJK (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Nijhuis T. (G) 28. Ylitolva M. 6. Tikkanen V. 3. Antzoulas G. 13. Simojoki K. 10. Lingman L. 4. Ring A. (C) 8. Kanellopoulos G. 7. Hostikka S. 20. Pukki T. 99. Michel B.	33. Zhuk M. (G) 14. Lehtiranta J. 17. Manga T. 4. Toivio J. (C) 21. Sumusalo M. 5. Wilson A. 26. Paavola M. 37. Tanaka A. 9. Tarvonen A. 15. Edlund C. 18. Seck A.
Substitutes
24. Boamah M. 19. Ezeh D. 11. Hudd R. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 21. Mentu P. 97. Mero T. 5. O'Shaughnessy D. 1. Ost J. (G) 14. Ritari M.	16. Diakite M. (G) 8. Elle Essouma F. 10. Forsell P. 19. Glasson M. 23. Larsen M. 30. Puhakainen L. 29. Ruohio A. 27. Tulehmo A. 77. Weckstrom L.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Nyholm J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Ring A. ⚽, Ylitolva M. (A),
25', Paavola M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Wilson A. (Pen),
44', Tanaka A. 🟨,
45+1', Pukki T. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
66', 2 - 1, Pukki T. ⚽,
67', Lingman L. ↓, Mentu P. ↑,
67', Tanaka A. ↓, Tulehmo A. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Hostikka S. ⚽,
73', Edlund C. ↓, Forsell P. ↑,
73', Sumusalo M. ↓, Elle Essouma F. ↑,
80', Pukki T. ↓, Ezeh D. ↑,
81', Ylitolva M. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
81', Michel B. ↓, Hudd R. ↑,
81', Tarvonen A. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
81', Seck A. ↓, Larsen M. ↑,
86', Hostikka S. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Kanellopoulos G. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, HJK is the clear favorite.

There will not play in HJK: Moller L. (Inactive)

There will not play in KTP: Huhtamaki U. (Red Card) Koski J. (Red Card)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, HJK won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:10. (average 2.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
11.05.25	FF Jaro - HJK	0:3 ✺
03.05.25	Inter Turku - HJK	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	HJK - VPS Vaasa	3:1 ✺
22.04.25	HJK - Gnistan	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	SJK - HJK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWLL
- KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.05.25	KuPS Kuopio - KTP Kotka	3:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
07.05.25	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	1:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.25	KTP Kotka - Oulu	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	FF Jaro - KTP Kotka	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	KTP Kotka - Ilves	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
18.02.25	KTP Kotka - HJK	0:4
Finnish Veikkausliiga
11.06.23	HJK - KTP Kotka	1:0
09.05.23	KTP Kotka - HJK	3:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
04.03.23	KTP Kotka - HJK	1:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.08.21	KTP Kotka - HJK	0:1
24.06.21	HJK - KTP Kotka	2:0
Finnish Cup
04.03.21	HJK - KTP Kotka	6:1

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