Match Info

Date: 24 September 2020, Thursday


	Malmö		Lokomotiva Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7	Watch
	1.48	4.6	6.5
	1.53	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.3	6
	1.49	4.36	6.72
	1.44	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.55	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.35)	4.36 ↓ (4.83)	6.34 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
63.6%

Draw
21.5%

Lokomotiva Zagreb
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

19.3%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

10.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malmö's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-26%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiva Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	8.7%	17.4%

Malmö - Lokomotiva Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 51 - 73.9%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 12 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 63.5% – 84.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Recent matches Malmö is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lokomotiva is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Malmö is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Malmö won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Malmö won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.20	Norrköping - Malmö	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Budapest Honved - Malmö	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.09.20	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
10.09.20	Örebro - Malmö	3:2 ✺
30.08.20	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTLT
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL
18.09.20	Šibenik - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:2 ✺
13.09.20	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	1:2 ✺
30.08.20	Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.20	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rapid Wien	0:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
21.08.20	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.06.17	Malmö - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1

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