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Current Win Probability
Chippa United 9.4%
Draw 18.7%
Mamelodi Sundowns 71.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
10.7%
19.3%
70%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.4%
18.7%
72.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chippa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippa United than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Chippa United - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Nwabali S. (G) 28. Madingwane B. 35. Majadibodu H. 22. Mobara A. 31. Jones I. 10. Matrose A. 20. Mosele G. (C) 15. Tshobeni A. 7. Figuareido J. 21. Seabi S. 29. Mlotshwa N.
30. Williams R. (C) 27. Morena T. 20. Kekana G. 3. Ndamane K. 23. Basadien F. 11. Allende M. 4. Mokoena T. 38. Ndlovu S. 43. Lethlaku K. 17. Matthews T. 12. Leon B.
Substitutes
44. Bance I. 6. Carrim M. 25. Kammies S. 40. Khanyi M. 8. Mfecane K. 5. Ndlovu S. 18. Sithole E. (G) 33. Tshaya O.
31. Goss R. (G) 42. Khoza M. 33. Mailula C. 21. Mkhulise S. 6. Modiba A. 13. Rayners I. 10. Santos N. 29. van Wyk A. 18. Zwane T.
Coaches
Truter B.
Cardoso M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Mokoena T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lethlaku K. ↓, Mailula C. ↑,
55', Mlotshwa N. ↓, Khanyi M. ↑,
55', Seabi S. ↓, Bance I. ↑,
63', Basadien F. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
63', Leon B. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
72', Ndlovu S. ↓, van Wyk A. ↑,
75', Tshobeni A. ↓, Mfecane K. ↑,
75', Matrose A. ↓, Kammies S. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Kammies S. ⚽,
84', Matthews T. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
86', Figuareido J. ↓, Ndlovu S. ↑,
90+2', Kekana G. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, van Wyk A. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chippa United won 0.
Chippa United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mamelodi Sundowns is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chippa United won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:38. (average 0.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chippa United won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.6:1.4).