Match Info

AFRICA: AFL - FINAL

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Wydad Casablanca

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.6
	1.7	3.3	4.75
	1.72	3.51	5.15
	1.67	3.51	5.15
	1.62	3.48	5.15	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	4.92 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
54.8%

Draw
26.5%

Wydad Casablanca
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.9%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

27.5%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mamelodi Sundowns have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Wydad Casablanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wydad Casablanca than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (G) 34. Mvala M. 4. Mokoena T. 5. Lebusa M. 25. Mudau K. 11. Allende M. 17. Modiba A. 13. Boutouil A. 38. Shalulile P. 23. Costa L. 18. Zwane T. (C)	32. El Motie Y. (G) 4. Aboulfath A. 16. Harkass J. 3. Serrhat A. 22. El Amloud A. (C) 13. Abdallah H. 17. Draoui Z. 23. Boussefiane H. 14. Attiyat Allah Y. 19. Lahtimi M. 21. El Bahri C.
Substitutes
3. De Reuck R. 22. Mabena S. 39. Maboe L. 35. Maema N. 33. Maseko T. 14. Mashego T. 24. Mbule S. 21. Mkhulise S. 6. Onyango B. 1. Onyango D. (G) 10. Sirino G. 8. Zungu B.	24. Ahannach S. 40. Bah B. (G) 30. Bouhrati S. 20. Chetti I. 10. Elhouni H. 25. Farhane A. 1. Maftah M. (G) 2. Mahrous O. 11. Ounajem M. 15. Regragui H. 27. Sambou B. J.
Coaches
Mokwena R.	Ramzi A.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mamelodi Sundowns won 1.

Recent matches Mamelodi Sundowns is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wydad Casablanca in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Mamelodi Sundowns is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Mamelodi Sundowns won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Mamelodi Sundowns won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
African Football League
05.11.23	Wydad Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWTW
- Wydad Casablanca
African Football League
05.11.23	Wydad Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	Espérance ST - Wydad Casablanca	1:1 penalties ✺
29.10.23	Wydad Casablanca - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
26.10.23	Wydad Casablanca - Enyimba	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Enyimba - Wydad Casablanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

African Football League
05.11.23	Wydad Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1
CAF Champions League
20.05.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Wydad Casablanca	2:2
13.05.23	Wydad Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
01.02.20	Mamelodi Sundowns - Wydad Casablanca	1:0
07.12.19	Wydad Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
04.05.19	Mamelodi Sundowns - Wydad Casablanca	0:0
26.04.19	Wydad Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1

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