Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 28

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Mancha Real		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.25	1.8
	3.75	3.4	1.87
	4	3.48	1.75
	4	3.48	1.76
	4.16	3.6	1.73
	3.75	3.4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (3.98)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
23.1%

Draw
26.4%

Real Jaén
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

28%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

27.5%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Fernandez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Pedro ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Adri P. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Corral P. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
30.03.24	Torreperogil - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Mancha Real - Motril	4:2 ✺
10.03.24	Huétor Vega - Mancha Real	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Mancha Real - Huétor Tájar	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTT
- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
30.03.24	Real Jaén - Atlético Melilla	7:0 ✺
23.03.24	Málaga Juniors - Real Jaén	2:3 ✺
09.03.24	Malaga B - Real Jaén	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Real Jaén - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Motril - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.11.23	Real Jaén - Mancha Real	3:0
07.03.21	Mancha Real - Real Jaén	1:0
30.12.20	Real Jaén - Mancha Real	2:1
08.03.20	Real Jaén - Mancha Real	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.02.17	Mancha Real - Real Jaén	1:1
17.09.16	Real Jaén - Mancha Real	2:2

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