Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Real Murcia		Águilas

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5
	2	3.1	4
	2.02	3.05	3.5
	2.05	3.16	3.85
	2.02	3.14	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.93)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	3.72 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
45.5%

Draw
29.7%

Águilas
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29.3%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

32%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-3%)

Real Murcia - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 10).

Recent matches Murcia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Águilas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.04.22	Melilla - Real Murcia	2:2 ✺
17.04.22	Real Murcia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	3:1 ✺
10.04.22	Real Murcia - Hércules	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Eldense - Real Murcia	1:3 ✺
27.03.22	Real Murcia - La Nucía	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWL
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.04.22	Águilas - Hércules	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Eldense - Águilas	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Águilas - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	El Ejido - Águilas	1:0 ✺
27.03.22	Águilas - Levante B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.12.21	Águilas - Real Murcia	1:2

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