Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Torredonjimeno		Mancha Real

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.76	11.54	Watch
	2	2.9	3.8
	2	3.08	3.62
	2	3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.77)	3.69 ↑ (3.3)	5.69 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torredonjimeno
55.3%

Draw
27.1%

Mancha Real
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torredonjimeno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torredonjimeno than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Torredonjimeno - Mancha Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Estrella J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torredonjimeno won 1.

Torredonjimeno is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mancha Real has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Torredonjimeno is a strong favorite.

We predict that Torredonjimeno will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Torredonjimeno won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Torredonjimeno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Torredonjimeno	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
17	Mancha	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.12.25	Arenas Armilla - Torredonjimeno	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Torreperogil - Torredonjimeno	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Torre Del Mar - Torredonjimeno	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Torredonjimeno - El Palo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTTW
- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.12.25	Mancha Real - Granada B	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Huétor Vega - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Mancha Real - Huétor Tájar	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Mancha Real - Martos	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.03.25	Torredonjimeno - Mancha Real	0:2
10.11.24	Mancha Real - Torredonjimeno	1:0
21.01.24	Mancha Real - Torredonjimeno	3:2
10.09.23	Torredonjimeno - Mancha Real	2:1
Club Friendly
11.08.22	Torredonjimeno - Mancha Real	0:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.12.20	Torredonjimeno - Mancha Real	1:0
17.05.19	Mancha Real - Torredonjimeno	2:4

Torredonjimeno - Mancha Real: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide